Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21

Feb 10, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens
3 - 1
Strasbourg

Wahi (16'), Costa (30'), Sotoca (58')
Medina (37'), Costa (61')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Delaine (43')
Delaine (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nantes 0-1 Lens
Saturday, February 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Strasbourg

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 Le Havre
Wednesday, February 7 at 7.30pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Having a full week to rest should give Lens an advantage over Strasbourg, who featured in a midweek affair in the last 16 of the Coupe de France. Given how well-organised Lens have been and Le Racing's frequent habit of giving goals away, we expect a narrow but comfortable triumph for Les Sang et Or. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Lens	Draw	Strasbourg
44.52% ( -0.03)	25.24% ( 0.02)	30.24% ( -0)

Both teams to score 55% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.6% (

-0.11)

48.4% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.46% (

-0.1)

70.54% (

0.1)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.26% (

-0.06)

21.74% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.09% (

-0.09)

54.91% (

0.09)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.27% (

-0.06)

29.73% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.21% (

-0.07)

65.79% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Lens 44.52%

Strasbourg 30.24%

Draw 25.24%

Lens	Draw	Strasbourg
1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 44.52%	1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.24%	0-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.92% Other @ 3.29% Total : 30.24%