Champions League

Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Jul 19, 2023 at 7pm UK

Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)

Ludogorets
4 - 0
KF Ballkani

(Ludogorets Razgrad win 4-2 on aggregate)

Tekpetey (4', 45'), Tissera (49'), Vidal (78')
Heister (51'), Russo (58'), Goncalves (69'), Vidal (79')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kryeziu (59')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Ludogorets Razgrad and KF Ballkani, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ludogorets Razgrad

Last Game: KF Ballkani 2-0 Ludogorets
Tuesday, July 11 at 7.45pm in Champions League

KF Ballkani

Last Game: KF Ballkani 2-0 Ludogorets
Tuesday, July 11 at 7.45pm in Champions League

We said: Ludogorets Razgrad 2-2 KF Ballkani (KF Ballkani to win 4-2 on aggregate)

Buoyed by last week's triumph on home soil, Ballkani will be determined to complete the job on Wednesday, while Ludogorets have no choice but to go for broke. We expect the second leg to be a chaotic affair as Ludogorets aim to overcome the two-goal deficit, but the hosts' approach will likely leave them exposed at the back. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 60.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for KF Ballkani had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a KF Ballkani win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ludogorets Razgrad would win this match.

Result
Ludogorets Razgrad	Draw	KF Ballkani
60.4% ( -0.05)	21.78% ( 0.02)	17.81% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 51.78% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.28% (

-0.07)

45.72% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.96% (

-0.06)

68.04% (

0.06)

Ludogorets Razgrad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.31% (

-0.04)

14.69% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.13% (

-0.07)

42.86% (

0.07)

KF Ballkani Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.7% (

-0.01)

39.3% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.99% (

-0.01)

76% (

Score Analysis

Ludogorets Razgrad 60.39%

KF Ballkani 17.82%

Draw 21.78%

Ludogorets Razgrad	Draw	KF Ballkani
1-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 60.39%	1-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.78%	0-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.13% Total : 17.82%