Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19

Jan 26, 2024 at 8pm UK

Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Lyon
2 - 3
Rennes

Henrique (57'), Lacazette (78')
Mata (33'), Nuamah (58')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Terrier (22', 41'), Doue (36')
Santamaria (7'), Stephan (8'), Truffert (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Bergerac Perigord 1-2 Lyon
Friday, January 19 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rennes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Marseille (9-8 pen.)
Sunday, January 21 at 8.05pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rennes have found form in the final third, while Lyon have conceded as many as 30 goals at this stage of a Ligue 1 campaign for the time since 1980. As a result, Les Rouges et Noir should push their hosts all the way - but the help of some new signings could see OL rescue a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Rennes
32.68% ( -0.05)	25% ( -0.01)	42.32% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 56.93% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.63% (

0.05)

46.38% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.34% (

0.05)

68.66% (

-0.04)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.89% (

-0.01)

27.11% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.5% (

-0.01)

62.5% (

0.01)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.11% (

0.05)

21.9% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.85% (

0.08)

55.15% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Lyon 32.68%

Rennes 42.32%

Draw 24.99%

Lyon	Draw	Rennes
1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.68%	1-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.99%	0-1 @ 9.02% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 42.32%