Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 22

Feb 17, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Mewa Arena

Mainz
1 - 0
Augsburg

van den Berg (43')
Jae-sung (35'), Kohr (90+7'), van den Berg (90+14')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dahmen (45+5'), Gouweleeuw (90+8')
Pedersen (90+12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Stuttgart 3-1 Mainz
Sunday, February 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Augsburg 2-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, February 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Mainz 05 1-2 Augsburg

Mainz have been very poor this season and look destined for the drop unless they can manage a major turnaround in the second half of the league campaign. However, having recorded only one victory in 21 matches to date, it is difficult to make much of a case for them in this one. This will certainly not be an easy match for Augsburg, but we are backing them to claim the points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Augsburg has a probability of 26.47% and a draw has a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Augsburg win is 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.43%).

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Augsburg
49.3% ( 0.53)	24.22% ( -0.05)	26.47% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 55.69% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.73% (

-0.16)

46.27% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.43% (

-0.15)

68.56% (

0.15)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.16% (

0.15)

18.83% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.72% (

0.25)

50.27% (

-0.25)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.61% (

-0.46)

31.38% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.24% (

-0.53)

67.76% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 49.3%

Augsburg 26.47%

Draw 24.22%

Mainz 05	Draw	Augsburg
1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 3.25% Total : 49.3%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.22%	0-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.8% Total : 26.47%