Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 15

Dec 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Mewa Arena

Mainz
0 - 1
Heidenheim

Krauss (38'), Ajorque (44'), Gruda (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pieringer (12')
Gimber (30'), Busch (34'), Beste (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: FC Koln 0-0 Mainz
Sunday, December 10 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Heidenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Heidenheim 3-2 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, December 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Mainz 05 2-1 Heidenheim

While a draw will not be surprising, Mainz could inflict another away loss on Heidenheim, whose next defeat on the road would be their seventh. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Heidenheim
47.47% ( 0.18)	23.69% ( -0.05)	28.84% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 59.4% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.76% (

0.13)

42.24% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.36% (

0.13)

64.64% (

-0.13)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82% (

0.12)

17.99% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.14% (

0.21)

48.85% (

-0.21)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.43% (

-0.02)

27.57% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.91% (

-0.03)

63.09% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 47.47%

Heidenheim 28.84%

Draw 23.69%

Mainz 05	Draw	Heidenheim
2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.67% Total : 47.47%	1-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.69%	1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 28.84%