La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 34

May 4, 2024 at 8pm UK

Iberostar Estadi

Mallorca
0 - 1
Atletico

Raillo (71'), Muriqi (75')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Riquelme (5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Mallorca and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mallorca

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Cadiz 1-1 Mallorca
Sunday, April 28 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 3-1 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, April 27 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Mallorca 1-1 Atletico Madrid

Atletico's away form has been so disappointing this season, and Mallorca do not give up many goals in front of their own fans, so we are struggling to back an away success with any real conviction. Mallorca are fighting for points to stay out of the bottom three, meanwhile, and we can see a low-scoring draw occurring this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.33%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.

Result
Mallorca	Draw	Atletico Madrid
26.33% ( 0.2)	26.58% ( -0.03)	47.1% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 48.34% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.16% (

0.25)

55.84% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.04% (

0.2)

76.96% (

-0.2)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.36% (

0.31)

36.64% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.57% (

0.31)

73.43% (

-0.31)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.29% (

0.03)

23.71% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.16% (

0.05)

57.84% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Mallorca 26.33%

Atletico Madrid 47.1%

Draw 26.57%

Mallorca	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.83% Total : 26.33%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.57%	0-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.32% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 47.1%