Copa del Rey | Quarter-Finals

Jan 24, 2024 at 6.30pm UK

Estadio Iberoamericano 2010

Mallorca
3 - 2
Girona

Larin (21'), Prats (28', 35' pen.)
Rodriguez (37'), Costa (39'), Raillo (67'), Greif (72'), Nastasic (90+8'), Samu (90+4')
Raillo (67')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Stuani (68' pen.), Savio (90+6')
Couto (90+4'), Blind (90+4')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between Mallorca and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mallorca

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Villarreal 1-1 Mallorca
Saturday, January 20 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Girona

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Girona 5-1 Sevilla
Sunday, January 21 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mallorca will be looking to make full use of home advantage, having lost just one of their 11 competitive home matches this season. While we think that the hosts could frustrate Girona during periods of the contest, we expect the visitors to draw upon their attacking firepower to claim a narrow win and advance to the semi-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Mallorca	Draw	Girona
30.44% ( -0.1)	26.9% ( 0.13)	42.67% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 49.9% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.95% (

-0.53)

55.05% (

0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.69% (

-0.44)

76.31% (

0.45)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.01% (

-0.35)

32.99% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.42% (

-0.39)

69.58% (

0.39)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.47% (

-0.25)

25.54% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.6% (

-0.35)

60.4% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Mallorca 30.44%

Girona 42.67%

Draw 26.9%

Mallorca	Draw	Girona
1-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.44%	1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.9%	0-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.57% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 42.67%