Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8

Oct 8, 2023 at 12pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
3 - 0
Le Havre

Sangante (18' og.), Aubameyang (21'), Sarr (84')

FT(HT: 2-0)

N'Diaye (12'), Casimir (50')
N'Diaye (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 2-2 Brighton
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: Le Havre 0-2 Lille
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

We said: Marseille 2-1 Le Havre

Marseille could be third-time lucky under Gattuso this weekend, with their wont for scoring under the Italian expected to get them over the line against Le Havre. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 19.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Le Havre
58.63% ( -0.68)	21.78% ( 0.32)	19.59% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 55.04% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.01% (

-0.87)

42.99% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.61% (

-0.87)

65.39% (

0.88)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.65% (

-0.5)

14.35% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.79% (

-0.98)

42.2% (

0.98)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.25% (

-0.12)

35.74% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.48% (

-0.13)

72.52% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Marseille 58.63%

Le Havre 19.59%

Draw 21.77%

Marseille	Draw	Le Havre
1-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.9% Total : 58.63%	1-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.77%	0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.84% Total : 19.59%