Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14

Dec 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
2 - 0
Rennes

Aubameyang (8' pen.), Ounahi (65')
Mughe (81')
Ndiaye (67')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Santamaria (36'), Matic (76'), Gouiri (90')
Wooh (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 4-3 Ajax
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rennes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Maccabi Haifa 0-3 Rennes
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Both Marseille and Rennes will enter Sunday's clash in high spirits and will hope to build on their Europa League wins in midweek as they attempt to turn their fortunes around in Ligue 1 and climb the table. Although there is little to separate these two teams, we believe that Marseille will do enough to come out on top considering their strong unbeaten home run and recent head-to-head record against Rennes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Rennes
45.15% ( -0.7)	24.86% ( 0.28)	29.99% ( 0.42)

Both teams to score 56.13% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.14% (

-1.02)

46.86% (

1.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.89% (

-0.96)

69.11% (

0.96)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.19% (

-0.72)

20.81% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.52% (

-1.15)

53.48% (

1.15)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.88% (

-0.23)

29.12% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.96% (

-0.28)

65.04% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Marseille 45.15%

Rennes 29.99%

Draw 24.86%

Marseille	Draw	Rennes
1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.67% Total : 45.15%	1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.86%	0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 29.99%