Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26

Mar 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
2 - 6
PSG

Nordin (30'), Savanier (45+2' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-2)

Vitinha (14'), Mbappe (22', 50', 63'), Kang-in (53'), Mendes (89')
Beraldo (38'), Donnarumma (45+2'), Mendes (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nice 1-2 Montpellier
Friday, March 8 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 3-1 Nice
Wednesday, March 13 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain

Montpellier are always capable of troubling opposition backlines in Savanier territory, but with three new concerns for Der Zakarian to factor in for Sunday's visit of the champions, there should be little for La Paillade to celebrate. Even though Montpellier love a draw at home, and PSG have been guilty of not converting one point into three in recent weeks, the visitors seldom slip up against their hosts and ought to return to winning ways in Ligue 1 in emphatic fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 18.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.01%) and 0-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 2-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
18.91% ( -0.26)	20.43% ( 0.04)	60.65% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 58.55% (

-0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.21% (

-0.63)

37.79% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.96% (

-0.68)

60.03% (

0.67)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.6% (

-0.64)

33.4% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.97% (

-0.71)

70.02% (

0.7)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.91% (

-0.14)

12.09% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.37% (

-0.29)

37.63% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 18.91%

Paris Saint-Germain 60.65%

Draw 20.43%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.07% Total : 18.91%	1-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.43%	1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.01% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 6.96% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 6.35% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 3.68% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 3.35% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.08% Total : 60.65%