Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 6

Sep 28, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
0 - 0
Bologna

Vignato (70'), Birindelli (80'), Ciurria (85'), Gagliardini (88'), Mari (90+3')

Orsolini (12'), Motta (86'), Saelemaekers (86')
Saelemaekers (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Monza and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 1-1 Monza
Saturday, September 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Napoli
Sunday, September 24 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

In a kinder fixture on paper than what Monza have faced often so far this season, the hosts may still find it difficult against a Bologna side that have taken six points despite scoring just three goals. That efficiency has seen the visitors lose just one of their last 11 competitive matches, and that streak could well continue here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Monza	Draw	Bologna
45.25% ( -0.93)	25.24% ( -0.13)	29.51% ( 1.06)

Both teams to score 54.6% (

1.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.26% (

1.12)

48.73% (

-1.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.16% (

1.01)

70.84% (

-1.01)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.46% (

0.05)

21.54% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.39% (

0.08)

54.61% (

-0.08)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.59% (

1.35)

30.41% (

-1.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.39% (

1.58)

66.6% (

-1.58)

Score Analysis

Monza 45.24%

Bologna 29.51%

Draw 25.24%

Monza	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.44% Total : 45.24%	1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.24%	0-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.11% Total : 29.51%