Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 24

Feb 11, 2024 at 2pm UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
0 - 0
Hellas Verona

Bondo (60')

Centonze (58'), Folorunsho (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Monza and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Udinese 0-0 Monza
Saturday, February 3 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hellas Verona

All competitions

Last Game: Napoli 2-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, February 4 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Monza 1-1 Hellas Verona

Only Juventus, Fiorentina and Inter have defeated Palladino's team at home this season, signifying that Monza are expected to avoid a loss on Sunday, even if victory over Verona cannot be guaranteed despite the latter's awful road record. Palladino's men have tended to draw games on their turf this season, and while they could nick a victory, erring on the side of caution seems the safer bet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 21.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Monza	Draw	Hellas Verona
54.16% ( -0.04)	24.51% ( 0.03)	21.34% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 49.1% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.79% (

-0.11)

52.21% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.08% (

-0.09)

73.92% (

0.09)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.79% (

-0.05)

19.21% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.1% (

-0.09)

50.91% (

0.1)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.77% (

-0.05)

39.23% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.06% (

-0.05)

75.94% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Monza 54.15%

Hellas Verona 21.34%

Draw 24.51%

Monza	Draw	Hellas Verona
1-0 @ 12.43% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 54.15%	1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.51%	0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.42% Total : 21.34%