Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11

Nov 5, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
0 - 1
Reims

Pierre-Gabriel (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ito (75')
Foket (53'), Busi (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Reims, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions

Last Game: Lens 4-0 Nantes
Saturday, October 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Reims

All competitions

Last Game: Reims 1-0 Lorient
Saturday, October 28 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Nantes have enjoyed a positive start to the season; however, their defensive record is a major concern. Reims have scored at least once in every league match they have played this season, and against a leaky defence in this one, we fancy the visitors to come away with the points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Nantes win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Reims
31.05% ( 0.01)	24.39% ( 0)	44.56% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 58.29% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.72% (

-0.01)

44.28% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.35% (

-0.01)

66.65% (

0.02)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.87%

27.12% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.48% (

-0)

62.51% (

Reims Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.99% (

-0.01)

20.01% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.8% (

-0.02)

52.2% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Nantes 31.05%

Reims 44.56%

Draw 24.39%

Nantes	Draw	Reims
2-1 @ 7.43% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.08% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.62% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.6% 3-0 @ 2.01% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.05%	1-1 @ 11.39% 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.39%	1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.03% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.92% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.77% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.98% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 44.56%