Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30

Apr 20, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
0 - 3
Rennes

Chirivella (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kalimuendo (67'), Bourigeaud (76' pen.), Gouiri (90+1')
Wooh (40'), Doue (45'), Santamaria (52'), Doue (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions

Last Game: Le Havre 0-1 Nantes
Sunday, April 14 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rennes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Rennes 1-2 Toulouse
Saturday, April 13 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rennes' quality - particularly in the final third - may significantly outweigh that of their hosts, but Stephan's offensive forces have left a lot to be desired in recent weeks, particularly on rival territory. As a result, a Nantes squad relishing the return of Kombouare may be good enough for a share of the spoils against Les Rouges et Noir, thus ending their disheartening streak of home losses at the ninth attempt. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 51.76%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Rennes
24.25% ( 0.72)	23.98% ( 0.45)	51.76% ( -1.17)

Both teams to score 54.26% (

-0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.87% (

-1.26)

47.12% (

1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.64% (

-1.18)

69.36% (

1.18)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.33% (

-0.06)

33.67% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.68% (

-0.07)

70.32% (

0.07)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.8% (

-0.91)

18.2% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.79% (

-1.57)

49.2% (

1.57)

Score Analysis

Nantes 24.25%

Rennes 51.75%

Draw 23.98%

Nantes	Draw	Rennes
1-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.29% Total : 24.25%	1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.98%	0-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.5% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 2.34% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.44% Total : 51.75%