Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Bologna |
45.15% ( -0.04) | 25.79% ( 0.03) | 29.06% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.57% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.74% ( -0.11) | 51.27% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.9% ( -0.09) | 73.1% ( 0.1) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.34% ( -0.06) | 22.66% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.7% ( -0.1) | 56.3% ( 0.1) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.97% ( -0.05) | 32.04% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.5% ( -0.05) | 68.5% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 45.14% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 29.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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