Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 34

Apr 28, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
2 - 2
Roma

Olivera (64'), Osimhen (84' pen.)
Rrahmani (75'), Zambo Anguissa (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dybala (59' pen.), Abraham (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Empoli 1-0 Napoli
Saturday, April 20 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Udinese 1-2 Roma
Thursday, April 25 at 7pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Six of the last seven goals scored in games between Roma and Napoli have arrived after the 75th minute, so history suggests a late winner could be on the cards. The hosts' home record is underwhelming, so the Giallorossi may deepen their misery with a rare win in Naples. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Roma had a probability of 26.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Roma
49.01% ( 0.96)	24.19% ( -0.33)	26.79% ( -0.65)

Both teams to score 56.08% (

0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.11% (

0.96)

45.88% (

-0.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.8% (

0.9)

68.19% (

-0.91)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.2% (

0.77)

18.8% (

-0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.78% (

1.27)

50.21% (

-1.28)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.06% (

0.01)

30.93% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.76% (

0.01)

67.23% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Napoli 49.01%

Roma 26.79%

Draw 24.19%

Napoli	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.27% Total : 49.01%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.19%	0-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.91% Total : 26.79%