Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 67.15%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 13.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Hellas Verona |
67.15% ( 0.01) | 19.09% ( -0.04) | 13.76% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.29% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.42% ( 0.27) | 41.58% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.02% ( 0.27) | 63.98% ( -0.26) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.55% ( 0.08) | 11.45% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.74% ( 0.17) | 36.26% ( -0.17) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.93% ( 0.21) | 42.07% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.5% ( 0.19) | 78.5% ( -0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Hellas Verona |
2-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.43% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.79% Total : 67.14% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.03) Other @ 1% Total : 19.09% | 0-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.52% Total : 13.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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