Champions League

Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 1, 2023 at 7pm UK

Stadion Stozice

Ljubljana
2 - 1
Ludogorets

(NK Olimpija Ljubljana win 3-2 on aggregate)

Elsnik (18', 90+2')
Elsnik (7'), Nukic (12'), Doffo (13'), Silva (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Despodov (15')
Heister (18'), Naressi (48'), Piotrowski (90+11')
Son (82')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between NK Olimpija Ljubljana and Ludogorets Razgrad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Olimpija Ljubljana

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Ljubljana 5-0 Rogaska
Saturday, July 29 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Goals
for

Ludogorets Razgrad

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Ludogorets 1-1 Ljubljana
Wednesday, July 26 at 7.45pm in Champions League

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Celje	7	3.50	Bizjak
2	Ljubljana	6	3.00	Fadida
3	Maribor	5	2.50	Jakupovic
4	Domzale	4	2.00	Cerne
5	Koper	3	1.50	Mulahusejnovic
6	Bravo	3	1.50	Poplatnik
7	Aluminij	2	1.00	Jovanovic
8	NS Mura	2	1.00	Saitoski
9	Radomlje	0	0.00
10	Rogaska	0	0.00

We said: NK Olimpija Ljubljana 2-1 Ludogorets Razgrad (Olimpija win 3-2 on aggregate)

Nothing could separate these two outfits last week, and a similarly tight affair should be in store in Ljubljana, where Ludogorets should no doubt benefit from their weekend break. The absences of Nedyalkov and Duah is not what the doctor ordered for Petev, though, and with Olimpija hotshot Fadida aiming to continue his stellar streak in front of the home crowd, we can envisage the Slovenian champions coming up trumps to progress. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana in this match.

Result
NK Olimpija Ljubljana	Draw	Ludogorets Razgrad
29.11%	25.13%	45.77%

Both teams to score 54.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.53%

48.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.4%

70.6%

NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.44%

30.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.21%

66.79%

Ludogorets Razgrad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.8%

21.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.91%

54.09%

Score Analysis

NK Olimpija Ljubljana 29.11%

Ludogorets Razgrad 45.77%

Draw 25.12%

NK Olimpija Ljubljana	Draw	Ludogorets Razgrad
1-0 @ 7.68% 2-1 @ 7.06% 2-0 @ 4.55% 3-1 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.16% 3-0 @ 1.8% Other @ 3.06% Total : 29.11%	1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.48% 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.12%	0-1 @ 10.05% 1-2 @ 9.24% 0-2 @ 7.79% 1-3 @ 4.78% 0-3 @ 4.03% 2-3 @ 2.83% 1-4 @ 1.85% 0-4 @ 1.56% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.53% Total : 45.77%