Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
29.1% ( -0.23) | 23.99% ( -0.1) | 46.91% ( 0.33) |
Both teams to score 58.54% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.55% ( 0.33) | 43.44% ( -0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.16% ( 0.32) | 65.84% ( -0.32) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72% ( 0.01) | 28% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.35% ( 0.02) | 63.65% ( -0.01) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.31% ( 0.26) | 18.69% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.97% ( 0.44) | 50.03% ( -0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 29.1% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.99% | 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.24% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.39% Total : 46.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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