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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Jun 22, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Exploria Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Orlando City
2 - 2
Philadelphia

McGuire (13'), Ojeda (54')
Schlegel (48'), Stajduhar (61'), Enrique (82'), Kara (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McGlynn (60'), Andres Martinez (90')
Mbaizo (28'), Flach (38'), Carranza (61'), Wagner (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New England 3-1 Orlando City
Sunday, June 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, June 11 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 2-2 Philadelphia Union

Both teams have had no issues finding the net in recent weeks, scoring in each of their last five matches, and plenty of goalmouth action could once again be on the cards at the Exploria Stadium. Orlando's recent unbeaten run on home soil bodes well ahead of Thursday's clash, and considering the visitors have a number of absentees, we believe that the hosts will do enough claim at least a point.

How to watch

You can watch Orlando City vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawPhiladelphia Union
42.61% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 26.41% (0.0010000000000012 0) 30.98% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 51.62% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.05% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)52.95% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.45% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)74.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.38% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)24.62% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)59.13% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.52% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.09% (0.0020000000000024 0)67.91% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 42.6%
    Philadelphia Union 30.98%
    Draw 26.4%
Orlando CityDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.87%
2-1 @ 8.8% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.62%
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 2.37%
4-1 @ 1.44%
4-0 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 42.6%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 7.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.4%
0-1 @ 8.96% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 7.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.79%
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 30.98%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Philadelphia

Orlando City
41.2%
Draw
35.3%
Philadelphia Union
23.5%
17
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 11.30pm
Sep 11, 2022 12.30am
Philadelphia
5-1
Orlando City
Mbaizo (39'), Uhre (43'), Gazdag (55' pen.), Bedoya (63'), Elliott (87')
Perea (75')
Jul 24, 2022 12.30am
Sep 19, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 34
Philadelphia
3-1
Orlando City
Wagner (37'), Przybylko (61', 89' pen.)
Flach (53')
Ruan (57')
Schlegel (33'), Ruan (59'), Michel (75'), Gallese (80'), Jansson (80'), Aguilera (86')
Carlos (88')
Jul 23, 2021 1.25am
Gameweek 18
Orlando City
2-1
Philadelphia
Michel (10'), Perea (59')
Pereyra (45'), Michel (78')
Przybylko (68')
Santos (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls178542923629
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC177461818025
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Toronto177372626024
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164482221116
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1541101227-1513

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd168532821729
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland185673232021
10Seattle SoundersSeattle174672021-118
11St Louis City163942325-218
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas173592632-614
13Dallas163581825-714
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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