La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 12

Nov 4, 2023 at 1pm UK

Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona (Irunea))

Osasuna
2 - 4
Girona

Budimir (25', 55')
Avila (40'), Catena (41'), Budimir (51'), Torro (87'), Fernandez (88')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Martin (16'), Dovbyk (71'), Tsygankov (80'), Garcia (90')
Martinez (72'), Herrera (85'), Stuani (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions

Last Game: Betis 2-1 Osasuna
Sunday, October 29 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Girona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: San Roque de Lepe 1-2 Girona
Wednesday, November 1 at 11am in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Girona are flying at the moment, but they are sure to hit a rough patch at some stage of the season, and this has the potential to be a tricky match despite Osasuna's problems this season. Girona are certainly good enough to win this, but we just have a feeling that a tight match could end all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Girona
33.01% ( -2.82)	26.18% ( -0.14)	40.8% ( 2.96)

Both teams to score 53.07% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.58% (

0.18)

51.42% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.77% (

0.16)

73.23% (

-0.15)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.62% (

-1.66)

29.37% (

1.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.64% (

-2.09)

65.36% (

2.09)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.14% (

1.68)

24.86% (

-1.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.53% (

2.29)

59.46% (

-2.29)

Score Analysis

Osasuna 33.01%

Girona 40.8%

Draw 26.18%

Osasuna	Draw	Girona
1-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.49) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.41) 2-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.58) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.32) 3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.01%	1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.18%	0-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.6) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.35) 0-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.42) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.18) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.19) Other @ 2.59% Total : 40.8%