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PAOK
Europa Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 18, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Toumbas
Club Brugge

PAOK
0 - 2
Brugge

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between PAOK and Club Brugge, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brugge 1-0 PAOK
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Brugge 3-0 Antwerp
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: PAOK 2-0 Club Brugge (PAOK win 2-1 on aggregate)

While the visitors travel with a slender lead to defend, their squad is badly hit with key men missing at both ends of the pitch. Given those extensive losses, particularly of Club Brugge's two top scorers, we back the Greek outfit to again overturn a deficit and prevail in the Europa Conference League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
PAOKDrawClub Brugge
44.32% (-0.92 -0.92) 24.41% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 31.26% (0.916 0.92)
Both teams to score 58.33% (0.49299999999999 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.73% (0.434 0.43)44.27% (-0.44 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.35% (0.421 0.42)66.65% (-0.42700000000001 -0.43)
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.89% (-0.223 -0.22)20.1% (0.217 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.64% (-0.355 -0.36)52.36% (0.348 0.35)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01% (0.813 0.81)26.98% (-0.819 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.67% (1.054 1.05)62.33% (-1.06 -1.06)
Score Analysis
    PAOK 44.33%
    Club Brugge 31.26%
    Draw 24.41%
PAOKDrawClub Brugge
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-0 @ 8.7% (-0.227 -0.23)
2-0 @ 6.98% (-0.231 -0.23)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 44.33%
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.081 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.43% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.41%
1-2 @ 7.47% (0.151 0.15)
0-1 @ 7.11% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.65% (0.124 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.26% (0.138 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.62% (0.094 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.099 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 31.26%

How you voted: PAOK vs Brugge

PAOK
71.8%
Draw
12.6%
Club Brugge
15.5%
103
Head to Head
Apr 11, 2024 8pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Brugge
1-0
PAOK
Vetlesen (6')
Thiago (25'), De Cuyper (84'), Brandon (90'), Skoras (90+2')

Samatta (50'), Mechele (89')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, June 14
 
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Tuesday, June 18
 
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Thursday, June 20
 
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Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
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Saturday, June 22
 
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Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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