Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1

Aug 12, 2023 at 8pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
0 - 0
Lorient

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Jeonbuk 0-3 PSG
Thursday, August 3 at 9am in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Lorient

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Bournemouth 2-0 Lorient
Saturday, August 5 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Lorient

Having tasted victory at Parc des Princes back in April, Lorient will fancy their chances of frustrating PSG once again, although very few teams record back-to-back wins against the perennial Ligue 1 champions. With that in mind, we expect Les Parisiens to exact revenge on Les Murles by securing a relatively straightforward victory in Enrique's first competitive match as PSG manager. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 66.22%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 15.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Lorient
66.22% ( 0.01)	18.16% ( -0)	15.62% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 59.82% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.08% (

-0.01)

32.91% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.37% (

-0.01)

54.62% (

0.01)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.73% (

9.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.68% (

31.31%

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.94% (

-0.01)

34.06% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.25% (

-0.02)

70.74% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 66.22%

Lorient 15.62%

Draw 18.16%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Lorient
2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.63% 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.08% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.54% 4-0 @ 4.21% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.11% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.44% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.16% 5-0 @ 2% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 4.84% Total : 66.22%	1-1 @ 8.09% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.16% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 18.16%	1-2 @ 4.36% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.4% 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 15.62%