Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6

Sep 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Municipal Georges Lefevre

PSG
4 - 0
Marseille

Hakimi (8'), Kolo (37'), Ramos (47', 89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gigot (73'), Veretout (82'), Lodi (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 2-0 Dortmund
Tuesday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Ajax 3-3 Marseille
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Marseille

Given that 14 of the last 20 meetings between PSG and Marseille have produced at least three goals, Sunday's instalment of Le Classique will likely be a high-scoring affair. It is also worth noting that Marseille have managed to win just two of their previous 28 matches against PSG across all competitions, so we expect the hosts to claim the bragging rights once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Marseille
43.2% ( -0.01)	23.54% ( -0)	33.26% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 62.36% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.63% (

0.02)

39.36% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.3% (

0.02)

61.7% (

-0.02)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.41% (

0.01)

18.58% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.14% (

0.01)

49.86% (

-0.01)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.59% (

0.02)

23.41% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.6% (

0.02)

57.39% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 43.2%

Marseille 33.26%

Draw 23.54%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Marseille
2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.16% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.02% 3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.11% 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.56% Total : 43.2%	1-1 @ 10.63% 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.54%	1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.32% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.59% 1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 33.26%