La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 18

Dec 19, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano
0 - 1
Valencia

Perez (70'), Nteka (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Canos (61')
Guillamon (34'), Vazquez (50'), Amallah (75'), Perez (81'), Diakhaby (90+5')
Correia (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Friday, December 15 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Valencia

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Valencia 1-1 Barcelona
Saturday, December 16 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Valencia

Both teams are on 20 points from 17 matches, while three of their last four league meetings have finished level. A case can be made for either to win it, but we are finding it difficult to separate them, ultimately settling on a low-scoring draw on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Valencia
37.26% ( -0.3)	28.11% ( 0.03)	34.63% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 47.41% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.3% (

-0.08)

58.7% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.76% (

-0.06)

79.24% (

0.06)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.69% (

-0.23)

30.3% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.51% (

-0.27)

66.48% (

0.27)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.02% (

0.14)

31.97% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.57% (

0.16)

68.43% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 37.25%

Valencia 34.62%

Draw 28.11%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 11.56% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.31% Total : 37.25%	1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.11%	0-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.62%