La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 36

May 23, 2023 at 9pm UK

Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla

Valladolid
3 - 1
Barcelona

Christensen (2' og.), Larin (22' pen.), Plata (73')
Fresneda (27')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Lewandowski (84')
Raphinha (62+62')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Valladolid

All competitions

Last Game: Cadiz 2-0 Valladolid
Friday, May 19 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barcelona

All competitions

Last Game: Barcelona 1-2 Real Sociedad
Saturday, May 20 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Real Valladolid 1-2 Barcelona

This is a much bigger match for Real Valladolid than it is for Barcelona, as the home side are battling for their lives towards the bottom of the division. Xavi's side will be determined to bounce back from their loss to Real Sociedad, though, and we can see a narrow away success in this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 63.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 15.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.93%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Real Valladolid	Draw	Barcelona
15.99% ( -0.3)	20.72% ( -0.01)	63.29% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 51.4% (

-0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.71% (

-0.52)

44.28% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.34% (

-0.5)

66.66% (

0.51)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.32% (

-0.69)

40.68% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.73% (

-0.63)

77.27% (

0.63)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.65% (

-0.07)

13.34% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.78% (

-0.15)

40.22% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Real Valladolid 15.99%

Barcelona 63.28%

Draw 20.72%

Real Valladolid	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.83% Total : 15.99%	1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.01% Total : 20.72%	0-2 @ 11.01% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 7.39% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 6.65% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 3.72% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 3.35% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 63.28%