Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5

Sep 17, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade Auguste-Delaune II

Reims
1 - 2
Brest

Richardson (19')
Matusiwa (22'), De Smet (52')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Camara (50'), Lees-Melou (56')
Lala (18'), Magnetti (36'), Roy (45+2'), Mounie (88'), Bizot (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Reims and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reims

All competitions

Last Game: Metz 2-2 Reims
Sunday, September 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Brest

All competitions

Last Game: Brest 0-0 Rennes
Saturday, September 2 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Three of the last four meetings between Reims and Brest have finished with a 1-1 scoreline, and with the two sides currently sitting on the same number of points, we think that a closely-fought contest could produce a familiar result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Brest had a probability of 26.79% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Reims	Draw	Brest
47.19% ( -0.25)	26.02% ( 0.08)	26.79% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 50.32% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.56% (

-0.2)

53.44% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.03% (

-0.17)

74.97% (

0.17)

Reims Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.36% (

-0.2)

22.64% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.73% (

-0.3)

56.27% (

0.3)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.05% (

0.03)

34.95% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.31% (

0.03)

71.69% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Reims 47.19%

Brest 26.79%

Draw 26.01%

Reims	Draw	Brest
1-0 @ 11.75% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.98% Total : 47.19%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.01%	0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 26.79%