Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Arena Nationala

Romania
2 - 0
Kosovo

Stanciu (83'), Mihaila (90+3')
Burca (9'), Puscas (34'), Bancu (52')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Berisha (14'), Muriqi (19'), Rrahmani (34'), Gliha (45+1'), Vojvoda (52'), Loshaj (59'), Bekaj (90+6')
Muriqi (43')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Romania and Kosovo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Romania

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Romania 1-1 Israel
Saturday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	5	9	11
2	Romania	5	3	9
3	Israel	5	-1	8
4	Kosovo	5	-1	4
5	Belarus	5	-6	4
6	Andorra	5	-4	2

Kosovo

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Kosovo 2-2 Switzerland
Saturday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	5	9	11
2	Romania	5	3	9
3	Israel	5	-1	8
4	Kosovo	5	-1	4
5	Belarus	5	-6	4
6	Andorra	5	-4	2

It is unlikely to be easy for Romania, but the Tricolorii should just get the better of tricky opposition to maintain their spot in Group I's top two. Kosovo have just struggled to get over the line and claim victories against supposed superior opposition in this group, and they could come up just short again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Kosovo had a probability of 22.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Kosovo win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.

Result
Romania	Draw	Kosovo
52.12% ( 0.01)	25.81% ( 0)	22.07% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 46.35% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.68% (

-0.03)

56.32% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.65% (

-0.02)

77.35% (

0.02)

Romania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.33% (

-0)

21.67% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.19% (

-0.01)

54.81% (

0.01)

Kosovo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.17% (

-0.03)

40.83% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.6% (

-0.02)

77.4% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Romania 52.11%

Kosovo 22.07%

Draw 25.81%

Romania	Draw	Kosovo
1-0 @ 13.52% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.27% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 52.11%	1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.69% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.43% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 1.24% Total : 22.07%