Valverde may make the level of changes that gives Rubi a chance of scoring a goal in this contest. Nevertheless, this will surely be a fixture dominated by Bilbao as they bid to enjoy an extended run in the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 92.47%. A draw had a probability of 5.8% and a win for Rubi had a probability of 1.78%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-3 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (12.57%) and 0-2 (11.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.73%), while for a Rubi win it was 1-0 (0.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Rubi	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1.78% ( 0)	5.75% ( 0)	92.47% ( -0)

Both teams to score 33.21% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

76.3% (

0.01)

23.7% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.8% (

0.01)

43.2% (

-0.01)

Rubi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

34.15% (

0.04)

65.85% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

6.64% (

0.02)

93.36% (

-0.02)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.24% (

2.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

87.33% (

12.67%

Score Analysis

Rubi 1.78%

Athletic Bilbao 92.46%

Draw 5.75%

Rubi	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
Other @ 1.78% Total : 1.78%	1-1 @ 2.73% ( 0) 0-0 @ 1.82% ( -0) 2-2 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 5.75%	0-3 @ 14.01% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 12.57% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 11.71% 0-5 @ 9.03% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 0-6 @ 5.4% ( -0) 1-4 @ 5.26% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.89% ( 0) 1-5 @ 3.77% ( 0) 0-7 @ 2.77% ( -0) 1-6 @ 2.26% ( 0) 0-8 @ 1.24% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) 1-7 @ 1.16% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 3.68% Total : 92.46%