Serie B | Gameweek 14

Nov 24, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
2 - 1
Spezia

Depaoli (11', 78')
Yepes (5'), Esposito (45+2'), Ghilardi (51'), Gonzalez Molino (90+6'), Conti (90+5')
Pirlo (45+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kouda (16')
Cassata (35'), Esposito (58'), Zurkowski (89'), Amian (90+5')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Sampdoria and Spezia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sampdoria

All competitions

Serie B

Last Game: Modena 0-2 Sampdoria
Saturday, November 11 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Spezia

All competitions

Serie B

Last Game: Spezia 2-2 Ternana
Sunday, November 12 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Spezia
44.96% ( 0.06)	25.81% ( -0.02)	29.24% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 52.62% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.75% (

0.06)

51.25% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.92% (

0.06)

73.08% (

-0.06)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.26% (

0.06)

22.74% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.58% (

0.08)

56.42% (

-0.08)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.1% (

31.9% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.65% (

68.35% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 44.95%

Spezia 29.24%

Draw 25.8%

Sampdoria	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 44.95%	1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.8%	0-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 29.24%