Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 32

Apr 14, 2024 at 2pm UK

MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore

Sassuolo
3 - 3
AC Milan

Pinamonti (4'), Lauriente (10', 53')
Marco Ferrari (19'), Ruan (57'), Thiaw (69')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Leao (20'), Jovic (59'), Okafor (84')
Pinamonti (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sassuolo

All competitions

Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Sassuolo
Friday, April 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Roma
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sassuolo 1-2 AC Milan

After being shut out for the first time in 30 games, Milan should be back on the scoresheet against one of Serie A's leakiest defences. It would constitute an upset for this Sassuolo side to stop the Rossoneri leaving Reggio Emilia with maximum points, and such a feat is likely to prove beyond them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Sassuolo	Draw	AC Milan
24.72% ( -0.59)	23.21% ( 0.06)	52.06% ( 0.52)

Both teams to score 57.34% (

-0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.71% (

-0.84)

43.28% (

0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.31% (

-0.84)

65.68% (

0.83)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.8% (

-0.93)

31.19% (

0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.46% (

-1.09)

67.53% (

1.08)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.34% (

-0.13)

16.66% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.48% (

-0.22)

46.52% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Sassuolo 24.72%

AC Milan 52.06%

Draw 23.21%

Sassuolo	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.8% Total : 24.72%	1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.21%	1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.3) 0-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 5.81% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.99% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.22% Total : 52.06%