Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 12

Nov 10, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore

Sassuolo
2 - 2
Salernitana

Thorstvedt (36', 52')
Toljan (71'), Thorstvedt (80')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Ikwuemesi (5'), Dia (17')
Ikwuemesi (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sassuolo

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Torino 2-1 Sassuolo
Monday, November 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salernitana

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Salernitana 0-2 Napoli
Saturday, November 4 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sassuolo 2-1 Salernitana

Both Sassuolo and Salernitana have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their first 11 Serie A games so far this season, so goals are to be expected in this fixture between two defensively-frail teams. The pressure is mounting on Salernitana to get their season up and running as they attempt to climb out of the drop zone, but we believe that Sassuolo have enough quality in the final third to outscore their opponents and claim maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Sassuolo	Draw	Salernitana
53.78% ( -0.07)	23.2% ( 0.02)	23.02% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 55.38% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.05% (

-0.04)

44.94% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.7% (

-0.04)

67.3% (

0.04)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.35% (

-0.04)

16.65% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.5% (

-0.07)

46.5% (

0.07)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.45% (

0.02)

33.55% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.81% (

0.03)

70.19% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Sassuolo 53.78%

Salernitana 23.02%

Draw 23.19%

Sassuolo	Draw	Salernitana
1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 53.78%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.19%	0-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 23.02%