La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 17, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan

Sevilla
1 - 0
Las Palmas

Lukebakio (71')
Torres (32'), Mir (38'), Ocampos (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Javier Garcia Pimienta (0'), Araujo (45+5'), El Haddadi (49'), Rodriguez (52'), Viera (62'), Pejino (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Sevilla 1-2 Girona
Saturday, August 26 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Las Palmas

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Girona 1-0 Las Palmas
Sunday, September 3 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sevilla 1-0 Las Palmas

This is a big match for Sevilla, even this early in the campaign. There will be huge pressure on the home side to pick up a victory this weekend, and we are expecting them to secure all three points, but Las Palmas are capable of making it an uncomfortable game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Las Palmas
41.21% ( -0.74)	28.2% ( -0.22)	30.59% ( 0.96)

Both teams to score 46.2% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.24% (

1.06)

59.76% (

-1.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.94% (

0.8)

80.06% (

-0.8)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.48% (

0.1)

28.52% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.7% (

0.12)

64.3% (

-0.12)

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.64% (

1.31)

35.37% (

-1.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.87% (

1.34)

72.13% (

-1.33)

Score Analysis

Sevilla 41.21%

Las Palmas 30.59%

Draw 28.19%

Sevilla	Draw	Las Palmas
1-0 @ 12.65% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.68% Total : 41.21%	1-1 @ 13.15% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.19%	0-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.08% Total : 30.59%