Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 50.83%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 24.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Osasuna |
50.83% ( 1.03) | 24.38% ( 0.03) | 24.78% ( -1.05) |
Both teams to score 53.55% ( -1.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.66% ( -1) | 48.34% ( 1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.52% ( -0.92) | 70.48% ( 0.92) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.98% ( 0.02) | 19.02% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.41% ( 0.04) | 50.59% ( -0.04) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.13% ( -1.41) | 33.87% ( 1.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.46% ( -1.56) | 70.54% ( 1.55) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.13% Total : 50.83% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.27% Total : 24.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |