Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Estadio Olimpico de Sevilla

Spain
6 - 0
Cyprus

Gavi (18'), Merino (33'), Joselu (70'), Torres (73', 83'), Baena (77')
Pino (69')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kastanos (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's European Championship Qualifying clash between Spain and Cyprus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Spain could line up in Tuesday's Euro 2024 qualification match with Cyprus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Georgia 1-7 Spain
Friday, September 8 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	5	11	15
2	Spain	3	7	6
3	Norway	4	-2	4
4	Georgia	4	-7	4
5	Cyprus	4	-9	0

Cyprus

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Cyprus 0-3 Scotland
Friday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	5	11	15
2	Spain	3	7	6
3	Norway	4	-2	4
4	Georgia	4	-7	4
5	Cyprus	4	-9	0

Cyprus are struggling in Group A, and it is very difficult to back them to pick up a positive result here. Spain were seriously good against Georgia on Friday evening, and it would be a shock if they were unable to secure another three points in Tuesday's affair on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 86.47%. A draw had a probability of 9.4% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 4.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 4-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.46%), while for a Cyprus win it was 0-1 (1.42%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
Spain	Draw	Cyprus
86.47% ( 0.13)	9.42% ( -0.09)	4.11% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 42.67% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.9% (

0.26)

28.1% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.13% (

0.32)

48.87% (

-0.32)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.65% (

0.07)

4.35% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.02% (

0.2)

17.98% (

-0.2)

Cyprus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.61% (

0.02)

55.39% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.89% (

0.01)

88.11% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Spain 86.46%

Cyprus 4.11%

Draw 9.42%

Spain	Draw	Cyprus
3-0 @ 12.37% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 7.31% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.03) 6-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.16% 6-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 7-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.91% Total : 86.46%	1-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.48% Total : 9.42%	0-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.37% Total : 4.11%