Serie B | Gameweek 31

Apr 1, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia
2 - 1
Ascoli

Vignali (12'), Hristov (52')
Nagy (32')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Rodriguez (24')
Streng (17')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Spezia and Ascoli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions

Last Game: Reggiana 0-0 Spezia
Saturday, March 16 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ascoli

All competitions

Last Game: Ascoli 4-1 Lecco
Sunday, March 17 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 46.57%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 25.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Ascoli
46.57% ( 0)	27.87%	25.55% ( -0)

Both teams to score 44.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.17% (

-0)

60.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.14%

80.86%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.8%

26.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.72% (

61.28% (

-0)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.92% (

-0)

40.08% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.27% (

-0)

76.72% (

Score Analysis

Spezia 46.57%

Ascoli 25.55%

Draw 27.86%

Spezia	Draw	Ascoli
1-0 @ 14.06% 2-0 @ 9.42% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.61% 3-0 @ 4.21% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.41% 4-1 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.96% Total : 46.57%	1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 10.49% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.86%	0-1 @ 9.6% 1-2 @ 5.88% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.79% 0-3 @ 1.34% 2-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.36% Total : 25.55%