Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Catanzaro
40.09% ( -0.93)	25.71% ( -0.13)	34.19% ( 1.06)

Both teams to score 54.9% (

0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.81% (

0.76)

49.18% (

-0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.75% (

0.68)

71.25% (

-0.68)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.77% (

-0.14)

24.22% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.43% (

-0.2)

58.57% (

0.2)

Catanzaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.46% (

1.03)

27.54% (

-1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.94% (

1.31)

63.05% (

-1.31)

Score Analysis

Spezia 40.09%

Catanzaro 34.19%

Draw 25.71%

Spezia	Draw	Catanzaro
1-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.09%	1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.71%	0-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.92% Total : 34.19%