Serie B | Gameweek 15

Dec 2, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia
0 - 1
Parma

Zurkowski (34')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Moutinho (90+4' og.)
Camara (44'), Partipilo (64')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Spezia and Parma.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions

Serie B

Last Game: Sampdoria 2-1 Spezia
Friday, November 24 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Parma

All competitions

Serie B

Last Game: Parma 1-1 Modena
Saturday, November 25 at 1pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Parma had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Parma
37.47% ( 0.1)	25.4% ( -0.01)	37.12% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 56.32% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.49% (

0.04)

47.51% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.28% (

0.04)

69.72% (

-0.04)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.14% (

0.07)

24.86% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.54% (

0.1)

59.46% (

-0.1)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.95% (

-0.03)

25.05% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.28% (

-0.05)

59.72% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Spezia 37.47%

Parma 37.12%

Draw 25.4%

Spezia	Draw	Parma
1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 37.47%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 37.12%