Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Nice |
30.49% ( -0.13) | 26.34% ( -0.03) | 43.17% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 51.63% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.16% ( 0.07) | 52.84% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.54% ( 0.06) | 74.46% ( -0.06) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.19% ( -0.05) | 31.81% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.76% ( -0.06) | 68.24% ( 0.06) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.71% ( 0.11) | 24.29% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.34% ( 0.15) | 58.67% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.49% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 43.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |