Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 32

May 4, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Mercedes-Benz-Arena

Stuttgart
3 - 1
Bayern

Stergiou (29'), Woo-yeong (83'), Wamangituka (90+3')
Anton (24')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kane (37' pen.)
Dier (20'), Pavlovic (78'), Tuchel (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, April 27 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 2-2 Real Madrid
Tuesday, April 30 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stuttgart 2-2 Bayern Munich

Goals are to be expected on Saturday, as not only do these two teams boast the top two scorers in the division, Kane (35) and Guirassy (25), but they are also the two sides with the highest expected goals (xG) and have created the most big chances in the division - Bayern with 142 chances compared with Stuttgart's 119. Both teams have little riding on this fixture, but Stuttgart still have some work to do to guarantee a third-placed finish, so with that in mind, we believe that the hosts will earn a hard-fought point from an entertaining score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.81%) and 3-2 (5.04%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Bayern Munich
46.89% ( 0.13)	20.83% ( -0.31)	32.29% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 72.37% (

1.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.82% (

1.68)

26.18% (

-1.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.55% (

2.12)

46.45% (

-2.12)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.86% (

0.67)

12.14% (

-0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.26% (

1.39)

37.74% (

-1.39)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.37% (

0.91)

17.63% (

-0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.77% (

1.56)

48.23% (

-1.56)

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 46.89%

Bayern Munich 32.29%

Draw 20.83%

Stuttgart	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.26) 1-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.37) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 1.76% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.13) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.07) 5-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.74% Total : 46.89%	1-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.39) 2-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.78% Total : 20.83%	1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.07) 3-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.84% Total : 32.29%