Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 19

Jan 27, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Mercedes-Benz-Arena

Stuttgart
5 - 2
RB Leipzig

Millot (25' pen.), Undav (30', 56', 75'), Leweling (48')
Anton (69')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Sesko (32'), Openda (55')
Schlager (5'), Simakan (16'), Baumgartner (42'), Raum (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-0 Stuttgart
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, January 20 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stuttgart 1-2 RB Leipzig

A closely-contested top-four encounter between two teams desperate to return to winning ways could be on the cards this weekend, and although Stuttgart boast the home advantage, Leipzig have had far more success in this fixture over the years. Both teams will not be at full-strength here, but we believe that Leipzig have enough quality at their disposal to claim maximum points against a Stuttgart side who have lost all four matches without the presence of leading marksman Guirassy this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.21%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	RB Leipzig
44.46% ( 0.02)	22.5% ( 0.01)	33.04% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 66.2% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.7% (

-0.07)

34.3% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.79% (

-0.08)

56.21% (

0.08)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.94% (

-0.02)

16.06% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.57% (

-0.03)

45.43% (

0.04)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.86% (

-0.05)

21.14% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.01% (

-0.08)

53.99% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 44.47%

RB Leipzig 33.04%

Draw 22.5%

Stuttgart	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.38% 3-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 3.79% Total : 44.47%	1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.5%	1-2 @ 7.5% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.1% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.72% Total : 33.04%