Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 7

Oct 7, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Mercedes-Benz-Arena

Stuttgart
3 - 1
Wolfsburg

Guirassy (67' pen., 78', 82')
Undav (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gerhardt (34')
Svanberg (5'), Wind (42'), Vranckx (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions

Last Game: FC Koln 0-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stuttgart 2-1 Wolfsburg

Providing that Stuttgart have their key offensive players available - particularly Guirassy, who has been irresistible so far this season - then we can envisage them moving to the top of the Bundesliga table by recording another win on Saturday. Wolfsburg represent a solid outfit under Kovac, but they remain inconsistent in terms of results, and the former Bayern Munich boss must work out a way to help his side perform better on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 53.47%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Wolfsburg
53.47% ( -0.27)	21.98% ( 0.04)	24.54% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 61.45% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.23% (

0.04)

37.77% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.98% (

0.04)

60.02% (

-0.04)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.78% (

-0.08)

14.22% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.04% (

-0.15)

41.96% (

0.14)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.63% (

0.2)

28.36% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.89% (

0.25)

64.1% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 53.48%

Wolfsburg 24.54%

Draw 21.98%

Stuttgart	Draw	Wolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.96% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.46% Total : 53.48%	1-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.98%	1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.48% Total : 24.54%