Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 15

Dec 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor

SV Darmstadt 98
0 - 1
Wolfsburg

Honsak (69'), Gjasula (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Majer (63')
Kovac (28')
Lacroix (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between SV Darmstadt 98 and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SV Darmstadt 98

All competitions

Last Game: Heidenheim 3-2 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, December 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Wolfsburg 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, December 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: SV Darmstadt 98 1-2 Wolfsburg

Saturday's fixture represents a good opportunity for both Darmstadt and Wolfsburg to return to winning ways and climb away from danger before the mid-season winter break begins in the middle of next week. Wolfsburg have endured a miserable run of form away from home, but their attackers should have more joy in the final third against a leaky Darmstadt backline that has conceded an average of 2.6 goals per game so far this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
SV Darmstadt 98	Draw	Wolfsburg
39.99% ( -0.18)	23.93% ( -0.14)	36.09% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 61.63% (

0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.39% (

0.74)

40.61% (

-0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.01% (

0.75)

62.99% (

-0.75)

SV Darmstadt 98 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.48% (

0.23)

20.52% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.98% (

0.37)

53.02% (

-0.37)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.55% (

0.51)

22.45% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.01% (

0.75)

55.99% (

-0.75)

Score Analysis

SV Darmstadt 98 39.99%

Wolfsburg 36.09%

Draw 23.93%

SV Darmstadt 98	Draw	Wolfsburg
2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 39.99%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.93%	1-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.09%