Europa League

Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg

Feb 22, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Toulouse
0 - 0
Benfica

(Benfica win 2-1 on aggregate)

Donnum (15'), Suazo (74'), Kamanzi (83')

Bah (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Toulouse and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Monaco 1-2 Toulouse
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Benfica

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Benfica 6-1 Vizela
Sunday, February 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Toulouse 1-2 Benfica (Benfica win 4-2 on aggregate)

Sitting back and waiting for the right moment to strike should not be the approach Toulouse take on Thursday evening, where the French side must go for broke lest they exit the Europa League with a whimper. Such tactics will inevitably leave space for the red-hot attacking unit of Benfica to exploit, though, and with Les Violets also enduring a woeful stretch of home form, the Portuguese champions should make lightning strike twice to reach the last 16. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 62.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 16.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.95%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-0 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Benfica
16.82% ( -0)	20.46% ( -0)	62.71% ( 0)

Both teams to score 54.14% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.43% (

-0)

41.57% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.03% (

-0)

63.97% (

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62% (

-0.01)

38% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.23% (

-0.01)

74.77% (

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.33% (

-0)

12.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.16% (

-0)

38.84% (

Score Analysis

Toulouse 16.82%

Benfica 62.71%

Draw 20.46%

Toulouse	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 4.66% 2-1 @ 4.66% 2-0 @ 2.25% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.2% Total : 16.82%	1-1 @ 9.62% 0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.81% 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.46%	0-2 @ 10.27% 0-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-3 @ 7.08% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.85% 0-4 @ 3.66% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.54% 2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.71% 0-5 @ 1.51% 1-5 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.45% Total : 62.71%