Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 25

Feb 18, 2024 at 2pm UK

Dacia Arena

Udinese
1 - 1
Cagliari

Zemura (14')
Lucca (20'), Gianetti (54'), Ferreira (77')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gaetano (44')
Dossena (33'), Augello (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions

Last Game: Juventus 0-1 Udinese
Monday, February 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cagliari

All competitions

Last Game: Cagliari 1-3 Lazio
Saturday, February 10 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Although Udinese will be riding high after their win against Juventus, Cioffi's side tend to find it much tougher when expected to break their opponents down. Cagliari, as would be expected under the management of Ranieri, will likely arrive with a defensive gameplan. As a result, we can envisage a game which will mostly be low on quality, with both teams desperate to avoid relegation this season. We predict a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Udinese	Draw	Cagliari
44.7% ( -0.51)	26.04% ( 0.17)	29.26% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 51.92% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.84% (

-0.51)

52.16% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.12% (

-0.45)

73.87% (

0.44)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.75% (

-0.47)

23.25% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.83% (

-0.68)

57.17% (

0.68)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.64% (

-0.02)

32.35% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.14% (

-0.02)

68.86% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Udinese 44.7%

Cagliari 29.26%

Draw 26.03%

Udinese	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 8% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 2% Total : 44.7%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.03%	0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.65% Total : 29.26%