Coppa Italia | Second Round

Nov 1, 2023 at 8pm UK

Dacia Arena

Udinese
1 - 2
Cagliari

Guessand (63')
Guessand (79'), Quina (90+4'), Ferreira (108')

FT
(aet)

Viola (80'), Lapadula (120')
Pereiro (76'), Wieteska (90+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia clash between Udinese and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Monza 1-1 Udinese
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cagliari

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Cagliari 4-3 Frosinone
Sunday, October 29 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

A change is as good as a rest, so a reformulated Udinese XI could pick up their first win since August by exploiting Cagliari's defensive deficiencies. The Sardinian side have picked up just two points from five away fixtures in Serie A, so they do not tend to travel well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%).

Result
Udinese	Draw	Cagliari
40.4% ( 0.85)	26.71% ( 0.14)	32.89% ( -0.99)

Both teams to score 51.35% (

-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.4% (

-0.76)

53.59% (

0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.9% (

-0.64)

75.1% (

0.64)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.94% (

0.11)

26.06% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.89% (

0.15)

61.1% (

-0.15)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.45% (

-1.03)

30.54% (

1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.23% (

-1.23)

66.77% (

1.23)

Score Analysis

Udinese 40.4%

Cagliari 32.89%

Draw 26.7%

Udinese	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.27% Total : 40.4%	1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.7%	0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.89%