Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 7

Oct 1, 2023 at 2pm UK

Dacia Arena

Udinese
2 - 2
Genoa

Lucca (23'), Matturro (90+1' og.)
Pereyra (35'), Success (42')
Lovric (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Gudmundsson (14', 41')
Martinez (23'), Frendrup (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions

Last Game: Napoli 4-1 Udinese
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Genoa 4-1 Roma
Thursday, September 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

It could be a close-fought encounter between two teams aiming to secure mid-table safety this season, and Udinese could finally get up and running with a one-goal win. Genoa impressed on Thursday night, but turning in consistent performances has proved beyond them so far. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Udinese	Draw	Genoa
43.27% ( -1.05)	27.29% ( -0.05)	29.45% ( 1.11)

Both teams to score 48.29% (

0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.12% (

0.68)

56.88% (

-0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.2% (

0.54)

77.8% (

-0.54)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.94% (

-0.23)

26.06% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.89% (

-0.31)

61.11% (

0.31)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.31% (

1.23)

34.69% (

-1.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.58% (

1.28)

71.42% (

-1.28)

Score Analysis

Udinese 43.26%

Genoa 29.45%

Draw 27.29%

Udinese	Draw	Genoa
1-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.15% Total : 43.26%	1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.29%	0-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.19% Total : 29.45%