Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 14

Dec 3, 2023 at 2pm UK

Dacia Arena

Udinese
3 - 3
Hellas Verona

Kabasele (16'), Lucca (30', 72')
Zemura (43'), Payero (45+1')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Djuric (37' pen.), Ngonge (61'), Henry (90+7')
Djuric (6'), Amione (45+4'), Coppola (50'), Ngonge (82'), Bonazzoli (87'), Henry (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 3-1 Udinese
Sunday, November 26 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hellas Verona

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-2 Lecce
Monday, November 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Udinese 1-0 Hellas Verona

With just three league wins between them all season, confidence will be fragile in both camps when Udinese host Hellas Verona, so a single goal could prove enough to seal victory. An overdue win in front of the Fruili faithful would lift the hosts further clear of the drop zone; deepening their visitors' woes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 52%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Udinese	Draw	Hellas Verona
52% ( 1)	26.29% ( -0.21)	21.72% ( -0.79)

Both teams to score 44.66% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.69% (

0.05)

58.31% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.06% (

0.04)

78.94% (

-0.03)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.44% (

0.46)

22.56% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.85% (

0.68)

56.15% (

-0.68)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.67% (

-0.78)

42.33% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.28% (

-0.67)

78.72% (

0.67)

Score Analysis

Udinese 51.98%

Hellas Verona 21.72%

Draw 26.28%

Udinese	Draw	Hellas Verona
1-0 @ 14.21% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.73% Total : 51.98%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.28%	0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.09% Total : 21.72%