Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 14

Dec 9, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Forsterei

Union Berlin
3 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Volland (23' pen.), Hollerbach (50'), Kaufmann (75')
Juranovic (29')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Plea (77')
Scally (3'), Weigl (33'), Plea (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Braga 1-1 Union Berlin
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-0 Wolfsburg
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Union Berlin 1-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

Although Gladbach have massively improved in recent weeks, they have only won one of six away games in the Bundesliga so far this season. On the flipside, Union Berlin have not tasted victory since late August. However, Die Eisernen have avoided defeat in three of their last four outings, and they will be desperate to deliver a victory for their new manager. We can envisage a share of the spoils, which would leave the hosts bottom of the table, but heading in the right direction once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 48.9%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
48.9% ( 0.01)	23.26%	27.84% ( -0)

Both teams to score 60.15% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.08% (

-0)

40.92% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.69% (

-0)

63.31% (

0.01)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.06% (

16.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.98% (

47.02%

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.42% (

-0)

27.58% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.89% (

-0.01)

63.11% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 48.9%

Borussia Monchengladbach 27.84%

Draw 23.26%

Union Berlin	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.62% 4-1 @ 2.49% 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 4.13% Total : 48.9%	1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.67% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.26%	1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.02% 0-2 @ 3.88% 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.66% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.88% Total : 27.84%