Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 16

Dec 20, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Forsterei

Union Berlin
2 - 0
FC Koln

Hollerbach (55'), Datro Fofana (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Koln

All competitions

Last Game: Freiburg 2-0 FC Koln
Sunday, December 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Union Berlin 1-0 FC Koln

Union have shown more promising signs under Bjelica, and they will want to quickly get over their woeful result at the weekend against a side they have a good recent record over. Koln have not beaten Union since a second-tier encounter in 2014, and their current woes in front of goal suggest they may struggle to get anything here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	FC Koln
46.66% ( 0.53)	25.11% ( -0.02)	28.23% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 54.2% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.12% (

-0.21)

48.88% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.02% (

-0.19)

70.98% (

0.19)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.02% (

0.14)

20.98% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.26% (

0.23)

53.74% (

-0.23)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.58% (

-0.48)

31.42% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.2% (

-0.56)

67.79% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 46.66%

FC Koln 28.23%

Draw 25.1%

Union Berlin	Draw	FC Koln
1-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.57% Total : 46.66%	1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.1%	0-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.84% Total : 28.23%